Every year at the end of the year I review my predictions from the previous year, and then on New Years eve I make predictions for the following year. Here are my predictions from last year. I must be psychic!
Obama will follow many of Bush’s policies, alienating him from many Democrats.
Yep. He has, and this has bothered the far lefties. But in many ways, he has done stupider things than Bush ever did.
The Democrats will become a fractious party with a lot of contention and some of them will challenge Obama’s authority.
Yep. I suspect that will continue to increase next year. Obama is a weak leader. Worse than I expected.
The economy will continue to suffer some setbacks, but there will be signs of improvement toward the end of the year.
Yep. But I wonder how valid those signs are.
Unemployment will get as high as 10% or more in some states.
Ha ha…it’s said to be more like 16% in reality.
More scandals will dog Democrats.
Chicago politics will be a can of worms for Obama as more stuff haunts his administration.
Yes, especially with Blago and the failed Olympic bid.
SAG will not strike after all.
There will be a backlash against rich celebrities who flaunted their money last year.
Well, not as much as I thought. Though people like Paris Hilton and so are are now in disfavor. More than before, anyway.
Obama will be fairly centrist on a lot of his policies, but his strong AGW stance will be met with a growing backlash.
I was wrong about the centrist thing, but right about the rest. Though he does do a fake kind of centrist act, Just not very well.
Obama will become less receptive to the press and the public as he becomes the target of more criticism.
Yep. It’s getting more so lately.
Many America haters in the Middle East and elsewhere will start testing the US. Obama’s responses will encourage more of our enemies getting emboldened.
That latest attack and all the domestic terrorist attacks prompted by Islamtic clerics, like the Ft. Hood point to this happening.
The Middle East will continue to heat up as Israel finds itself in more and more conflicts with the US having to take a position supporting them.
Obama has not been supportive of Israel at all.
Obama will not withdraw troops from Iraq as quickly as he implied before.
More or less true.
Gas prices will be fairly stable in 2009, but will probably be in the low $2 range most of the year.
Wrong. We have a white house that is hostile to oil and will make things worse.
More shocks in the housing market to come as ARM and other special mortgages cause another wave of defaults.
Yes, defaults continue. And the commercial market is expected to follow.
I suspect 2010 will be worse in many ways, but perhaps better toward the end. We’ll discuss that tomorrow.